Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.922494 1.075697 1.240520 1.430341 1.642211 1.870709 2.135053
2025-08-03 0.642267 0.848670 1.092003 1.396629 1.764167 2.189638 2.715511
2025-08-10 0.475111 0.705805 1.001434 1.399451 1.911983 2.540136 3.357588
2025-08-17 0.346417 0.577434 0.898090 1.359657 1.989346 2.799849 3.901049
2025-08-24 0.269868 0.500292 0.843953 1.368161 2.118842 3.124583 4.538946
2025-08-31 0.210056 0.432627 0.788433 1.361353 2.218716 3.408959 5.133756
2025-09-07 0.176232 0.398488 0.775809 1.411660 2.398187 3.807468 5.898751
2025-09-14 0.146460 0.363735 0.755047 1.443789 2.549085 4.170097 6.627966
2025-09-21 0.114560 0.316186 0.703662 1.418093 2.605828 4.395483 7.169066
2025-09-28 0.096352 0.291734 0.688663 1.449436 2.751240 4.755918 7.917253
2025-10-05 0.081090 0.269446 0.673555 1.477386 2.890750 5.111666 8.670492
2025-10-12 0.068039 0.248505 0.657253 1.500161 3.021174 5.457240 9.419607
2025-10-19 0.055325 0.224907 0.632692 1.506940 3.128463 5.777838 10.154473
2025-10-26 0.042061 0.194606 0.588104 1.470017 3.156939 5.974656 10.709073
2025-11-02 0.033639 0.175415 0.564871 1.472180 3.254057 6.286387 11.454301
2025-11-09 0.024963 0.150773 0.523171 1.430442 3.266375 6.456640 11.980150
2025-11-16 0.020023 0.137248 0.506457 1.439150 3.372006 6.786293 12.770774
2025-11-23 0.015554 0.122802 0.484009 1.432005 3.445691 7.063188 13.483702
2025-11-30 0.013450 0.118011 0.487642 1.484312 3.638187 7.552848 14.560762
2025-12-07 0.011223 0.111070 0.483509 1.517715 3.794509 7.984314 15.553513
2025-12-14 0.008291 0.097497 0.455802 1.490987 3.826743 8.195931 16.183912
2025-12-21 0.006866 0.091933 0.452426 1.523580 3.982422 8.634211 17.208923
2025-12-28 0.005628 0.086413 0.447925 1.552642 4.131947 9.066069 18.234260